When will we know the VPs for sure?

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1. Paladin says:

   March 31, 2010 at 9:36 pm

   they will be announced during the conventions
2. Silly Person, Cookies are For Me says:

   March 31, 2010 at 9:51 pm

   Not sure. But probably in July or August. I know they’ll decide in September/August, but I think we’ll have a firm idea a month before to a few weeks before. However, it is possible that the candidates will wait until convention to tell everyone.
3. x x says:

   March 31, 2010 at 10:15 pm

   If Raul Castro says no, it might take another month to find another good “fellow traveler”.
4. just plain jim says:

   March 31, 2010 at 10:51 pm

   The candidates can pick their VP now, but it does not mean the conventions will approve. (more then likely they will)

   The answer, when the conventions decide.

   ===============
   Life is so simple, but we insist on making it complicated

   Confucius
   551 – 479 BC
   ===============

   Peace

   Jim

   .
5. At World's End says:

   March 31, 2010 at 11:03 pm

   Around August? I was hoping for sooner. So much suspense.
6. Tmess2 says:

   March 31, 2010 at 11:28 pm

   For sure, when the conventions take place in the last week of August (25th-28th) for the Democrats and first week of September (1st-4th) for the Republicans. (Traditionally, the VP is nominated on the last day of the convention so the absolute latest is the afternoon of the last day. However, Dan Quayle in 1988 was the last announced in the week prior to the convention and George Bush in 1980 was the last named during the convention.) While the convention can theoretically reject the choice of the nominee, I do not know if that has ever happened (and certainly not in the past several decades).

   The conventional wisdom says that the candidates will want to announce before the Summer Olympics (August 8th-24th) so that the sports news does not block out the PR that they would like to get from the announcements.

   Given that it does take some time to get releases back from the potential nominees and do the background checks, my hunch would say no sooner than July 1st (which means probably after July 4th) and no later than the end of July (at least for the first announcement).

   The real question is going to be with the two sides playing a game of chicken and trying to force the other to go first while still leaving time to get full newsplay on their own selection. (Forcing the other to go first, lets you take into account what that pick adds to the other ticket in picking your own VP. However, you don’t want to get pushed back to a situation where the other side picks on August 6th and you have no time left before the Olympics to make your own announcement).